by Mr Tiger » Fri Mar 16, 2012 6:43 pm
I have 3 stats:
Resteal SBvsBU approx
cnt_p_SB_3bet_to_BU_steal_approx
sum(if[holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_p_3bet AND
holdem_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 AND holdem_hand_player_detail.val_p_raise_aggressor_pos = 0 AND holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_blind_def_opp,1,0])
cnt_p_SB_fold_to_BU_opp_approx
sum(if[holdem_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 AND holdem_hand_player_detail.val_p_raise_aggressor_pos = 0 AND holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_blind_def_opp,1,0])
Resteal SBvsCO approx
cnt_p_SB_3bet_to_CO_steal_approx
sum(if[holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_p_3bet AND
holdem_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 AND holdem_hand_player_detail.val_p_raise_aggressor_pos = 1 AND holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_blind_def_opp,1,0])
cnt_p_SB_fold_to_CO_opp_approx
sum(if[holdem_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 AND holdem_hand_player_detail.val_p_raise_aggressor_pos = 1 AND holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_blind_def_opp,1,0])
3bet vs steal in SB
cnt_sb_steal_raise
sum( if[ holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_blind_def_opp AND holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_blind_s AND holdem_hand_player_statistics.cnt_p_raise > 0, 1, 0 ])
cnt_steal_def_opp_sb
sum( if[holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_blind_def_opp AND holdem_hand_player_statistics.flg_blind_s, 1, 0])
The results for one player are: (result(number of opportunities)) 13.2(3162) 7.8(1715) 11.8(4927)
3162+1715=4877 (not 4927). It's ok. But: 3162*0.132+1715*0.078~551; 551/4877~11.3<11.8. And that is odd. When we face a steal in SB from BU or CO two main situations, which are not covered by SBvsBU and SBvsCO stats, might occur:
1) Hero 3bets, BB 4bets and BU doesn't reraise. Here we lost some "numerator" cases.
2) Hero folds, BB 3bets and BU doesn't reraise. Here we lost some "denominator" cases.
It's evident, that the second situation occurs more often than the first. Therefore in SBvsBU and SBvsCO stats denominator decreases more than numerator due to mistakes. So SBvsBU and SBvsCO stats must have greater values due to mistakes, but I see an opposite situation.
Does anybody have an explanation? Maybe holdem_hand_player_detail.val_p_raise_aggressor_pos is not changed after Hero folds(?) But even this can't be the only one explanation...
Last edited by
Mr Tiger on Fri Mar 16, 2012 6:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.